Phoenix Prediction Docs

Market Creation

Create clear markets that players and support teams can understand

A good market is easy to understand before a player buys and easy to resolve after the real-world event is known.

Do not publish a market until the title, outcomes, close time, and resolution rule all agree with each other.

Market Fields

FieldOperator guidance
TitleAsk a single clear question. Avoid jokes, vague wording, or multiple conditions.
DescriptionAdd context only when it helps the player understand the rule.
OutcomesMake outcomes mutually exclusive and complete.
Close timeClose before the event or data point can be known.
Resolution ruleName the source of truth and exactly what value or event decides the outcome.
Category and topicsPut the market where players will naturally look for it.
Currency and limitsMatch the intended audience, risk level, and operator policy.
LiquidityStart lower for new formats or uncertain demand.
ImageUse an image that supports the market without implying a different rule.

Before Publishing

Review the market as if you were a player seeing it for the first time:

  1. Can the player understand what they are predicting?
  2. Are the possible outcomes complete?
  3. Is there a clear moment when betting should stop?
  4. Is the source of truth named clearly?
  5. Would support know how to explain the result?
  6. Could the market become unfair if the real-world event changes?

Good Market Wording

Prefer wording that makes the resolution path obvious:

WeakBetter
BTC up today?Will BTC close above its previous daily close on the named price source?
Team A wins?Will Team A win the scheduled match against Team B on the official result?
Will it rain?Will the named weather source report measurable rain in the selected city on the selected date?

Recurring Markets

Use a series when the same market pattern repeats.

Before enabling a series:

  • Review the template title and description with sample generated dates.
  • Confirm each generated market will close before the result is knowable.
  • Confirm the resolution source works for every market in the series.
  • Start with a small schedule until the team trusts the format.
  • Pause the series if wording, timing, or source quality becomes questionable.

Launch Checklist

Before promoting a market:

  • The market appears in the intended player-facing experience.
  • Limits and liquidity match the expected demand.
  • The resolution owner knows when and how to resolve it.
  • Support can find the market and understand the rule.
  • Compliance and responsible gaming requirements are satisfied.

Common Mistakes

  • Publishing a market whose title and resolution rule do not match.
  • Letting betting remain open after the outcome is effectively known.
  • Creating outcomes that do not cover the real result.
  • Using a source that can change or disappear after settlement.
  • Launching high-volume markets before the team understands the risk.

On this page